ISA 2017 Baltimore
I will take part in the International Studies Association Annual Convetion, Baltimore, Feb 22-25, 2017. Headquarters: Hilton Baltimore.
401 West Pratt Street
The Hilton Baltimore is the headquarters hotel; it contains registration, panels, meetings, receptions, the president's address
"Elections and Contentious Politics"
● Chair: David E. Cunningham (University of Maryland)
● Discussant: Ursula Daxecker (University of Amsterdam)
● Discussant: Nikolay Marinov (University of Mannheim)
● Scientific Study of International Processes ● International Security Studies
Tags: ● Civil War ● Elections ● Protests ● Social Media
Panel Abstract: Most countries in the world hold elections. In many developing countries that are transitioning to democracy, elections are often associated with unrest, including protest, terrorism, and violent conflict. Yet other elections proceed remarkably peacefully. This panel presents five papers that use new data and methodological techniques to examine the relationship between elections and contentious politics. The first paper examines the determinants of contentious elections broadly, presenting a broad theoretical framework and analyzing specific aspects of this framework empirically. The second paper uses machine learning to develop better measures of election events derived from both traditional media sources and social media posts. The third paper uses twitter data to develop a measure of election-related grievance, and examines the relationship between this grievance and different types of conflict events using new integrated data from four events datasets. The fourth paper examines how provisions in peace agreements related to rebel participation in elections affect the level of electoral violence following civil conflict. The final paper examines whether a newly developed localized measure of election fraud can predict post-electoral protest. Taken together, the papers analyze the relation between elections and contention using a range of innovative techniques and across a number of different contexts. - Panel Submitted By: David E. Cunningham (University of Maryland)
"Electoral Integrity and Contentious Elections"
● Author: Pippa Norris (Harvard)
"Covering the campaign: Automated Extraction of Election Events in 2014 South Africa"
● Author: Aaron Erlich (University of Washington)
● Author: Jeffrey B. Arnold (University of Rochester)
● Author: Danielle Jung (Emory University)
● Author: James Long (University of Washington)
"Room for Rebels? Post-Conflict Participation Provisions and Election Quality"
● Author: Emily Beaulieu (University of Kentucky)
● Author: Aila M. Matanock (University of California, Berkeley)
"Explaining electoral violence in Sub-Saharan Africa using grievance measures derived from social media (ISA)"
● Author: Erin McGrath (University of Pittsburgh)
● Author: Eric Dunford (University of Maryland)
● Author: David Backer (University of Maryland)
● Author: David E. Cunningham (University of Maryland)
"Predicting Post-Electoral Protests with a Model-Based Measure of Election Fraud"
● Author: Kirill Killinan (University of Michigan)