Research

Why Do States Intervene

in the Elections of Others

Abstract:

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Hybrid War of Information

On October 15, 2017, the research team of Marinov and fellow coPIs filed a pre-proposal to the Volkswagen Foundation, under the call Challenges for Europe.  

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U.S. SASCAT

Computational Analysis of Text

This project applies Natural Language Processing Techniques on a webscraped corpus of government documents to identify when the U.S. /Congress and President/ discussed or imposed economic sanctions.  We rely on supervised machine-learning techniques to extract key-word combinations related to the economic pressure imposed by the U.S.

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Process or Candidate?

The International Community and the Demand for Electoral Integrity

When and why states support candidates in other countries’ elections and what that does to democracy: APSR publication by Bubeck and Marinov. Links to online publication, and replication data.

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International Criticism of Domestic Freedoms

When outside actors criticize domestic rights and freedoms, do voters update their beliefs on rights and freedoms? We argue that messages coming from outsiders who condition resources on democracy, and who possess expertise on democracy, are more likely to change respondents’ beliefs.

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Floods and Corruption

work with Elena Nikolova

What happens to funds provided to deal with the aftermath of natural disasters?  In this project, Marinov joins with an economist Elena Nikolova to ask a question about the most corrupt country in the EU, from which he hails.

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Does Social Media Promote Civic Activism?

Evidence from a Field Experiment in Bulgaria

Promoting democracy has also become more personal, by seeing me advocate for civic causes in my birth-country of Bulgaria. An award-winning campaign to save a park on social media generated a target of opportunity: a field experiment. The ink is still fresh on the resultant paper.

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Rules and Allies: Foreign Election Interventions

Book Manuscript

"Rules and Allies: Foreign Election Interventions", co-authored with Johannes Bubeck, is about how great powers back local allies in elections, how that affects democracy promotion, the policy positions candidates take, levels of corruption in the affected countries, and about the long-term consequences.  

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Electoral Proximity and Troop Contributions

A New Study in Journal of Politics

Photo: Doug Mills/The New York Times

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Aid and Rights: A Natural Experiment

We help arbitrate the debate over this question by leveraging a novel source of exogeneity: the rotating presidency of the Council of the European Union

We find that when a country’s former colonizer is the president of the Council of the European Union during the budget-making process, the country is allocated considerably more foreign aid than are countries whose former colonizer does not hold the presidency.

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